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DeFi

The Polymarket & Prediction Markets Masterclass

Only 0.51 percent of Polymarket wallets have ever crossed $1,000 in cumulative profit. Here is how the other side of the table operates.

What you'll learn

  • Why directional betting on Polymarket is a structurally losing game for most wallets.
  • How to extract market-neutral yield from prediction markets without taking a side.
  • What resolution-mechanic edge cases like the Khamenei market teach you about real risk.

About this masterclass

Only 0.51 percent of Polymarket wallets have ever crossed a $1,000 cumulative profit threshold. The other 99.49 percent are trading against insiders, algorithms, and faster information flows. This masterclass takes that statistic seriously and uses it as the starting point for a different way of engaging prediction markets.

Adam walks through five frameworks that do not require you to be right about the underlying event: market-neutral yield capture, using prediction-market prices as signal rather than as a bet, airdrop positioning on unlaunched tokens, exploiting structural quirks in market mechanics, and resolving the question of what actually happens when an edge case like the Khamenei market is settled.

The session is built for traders who want to extract value from prediction markets without pretending they have better information than the people who built them.

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